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talking about stimulating growth. and, david axelrod, who talked about the brazenness of governor romney, which is utterly laughable, no one is more brazen than david axelrod, he is ignoring the reality, destroying what the governor has said. that is unconscionable, i think you will pay a major price for it in the pool. megyn: i want to get to this soundbite from governor romney from the debate. he seemed to be talking about the different approaches. >> that manically, there are three ways we can cut the deficit. one, of course, is to raise taxes. number two is to cut spending, number three is to grow the economy. because if more people work in a growing economy, they are paying taxes and you can get the job done that way. the president would prefer raising taxes. i understand. the problem with raising taxes is that it slows down the rate of growth. you can never quite get the job done. i want to lower spending and encourage economic growth at the same time. megyn: he is talking about broadening the tax base, because if you lower the taxes, people have more money, they spend more money,
out what a liar mitt romney is. if he was talking are speaking last night, he was lying. >> you know, i think that we expected an aggressive debater to show up last night. we did not expect an aggressively dishonest debater to show it. and that is what we got with mitt romney. >> many people are saying that what they saw was that governor romney that they have known all along and has been the problem in the past and they haven't seen that person. that he finally emerged during the debate. >> so you think that he lied through his teeth when he said he was going to cut taxes for wealthy people? >> he is the etch-a-sketch guy who has transformed himself and quite frankly, we always have to wonder which mitt romney is going to show up. if you just lay out lie after lie after lie about your own plan, as well as what the president has been talking about, of course you can look good. megyn: joining me now is chris stirewalt, host of "power play." i wanted to get back to january of 2009 when president obama in a common about immigration. joe wilson, shouted out, you lie on the floor of the h
failed -- >> tara that was an excellent shift but answer for me about governor romney. we can talk about the president. >> that is my answer. >> no, that is my answer, soledad. >> the answer is that the president -- -- the answer about president obama? >> i think the governor has made his position clear relative to where we stand with israel. >> he hasn't is my point. >> decided to meet with entertainment folks and people like that, rather than benjamin netanyahu and i think that there -- again, there's a clear position here -- >> it's not. it's not. that's my point. my point, tara, hold on. just hold on. my point is, it's completely contradictory. my question is, which is it? >> in your viewpoint. >> okay. then tell me how it's not completely contradictory in your viewpoint, but don't talk about president obama at this moment, answer the question about governor romney. >> we will stand side by side with -- we will stand side by side with israel and -- and -- and the governor has made that clear. i'm not going to get into a big foreign policy debate with you here. that's not -- that's no
, the senior communications adviser for the romney campaign. nice to see you. thanks for talking with us. >> hi, soledad. good morning. absolutely. >> so we know having read some of these excerpts that have been sent out by the campaign that governor romney's going to focus on israel, he's going to focus on the palestinian territories and no big surprise, he's going to focus on iran. why don't you spell out for me exactly what governor romney's position is when it comes to iran? >> well, listen, governor romney is going to clearly spell out the choice that there is this election, particularly when it comes to foreign policy and all of the unrest that is happening in the middle east right now and how we have to address that and that is working with our allies, that is calling terrorism terrorism when we see it, that is acting boldly and strongly with leadership and that's what americans want to see and hear. i think we'll have an opportunity to see that in the speech. i don't want to give out the whole speech. i think that americans will have the opportunity to hear that and see that. but i thin
they needed to do something. the first thing you're talking about with mitt romney and foreign policy had been this trip to europe, europe, poland, israel, the olympics hadn't gone so well. now they have something to talk about. how did it go? i think the main difference and what they strive to do is paint a contrast between them and the obama administration. the contrast becomes part of their posturing. how are we going to approach foreign policy differently? the posture is that obama's foreign policy is lead from behind, i think mitt romney is really lean forward. we're trying to use our influence in the middle east to -- but really we're trying to use our influence in the region to get the outcomes we want in order to shape the policies that we want, in order to receive the outcomes that we want in the middle east. >> let's be honest, posturing is what we've got here. was his speech heavy on detail or light on detail? >> i'm stealing this from someone on twitter who said the difference between romney and obama on foreign policy is romney says speak louder but carry the same stick. sort of t
with mitt romney in jerusalem when he was there while we were talking about the middle east. i think you will see a lot more of this and he thinks he has advantages in going after the president's record on on a lot of these issues. >> i recall specifically since you said he will be so careful as he words the speech today, i recall the series of gaffes on the overseas trip as well and to that point, wolf, this speech today, and we do have some of the excerpts, so i want to take a few and get your take on the differences between mitt romney's positions and president obama's positions on these very specific issues, and they are the hottest issues right now in foreign policy. start with iran. the excerpt according to the text we have been given, mitt romney is going to say, and i quote, the united states and our friends and allies will prevent iran from acquiring nuclear weapons capability. i will not hesitate to impose new sanctions on iran and will tighten the sanctions we currently have. if you could break down how that differs from the president's and specifically that word capability, a
it was interesting to hear the romney campaign talk about that issue from this standpoint. the other thing they raised on this conference call and that you also see in the excerpts is this idea of a two-state solution between the israelis and the palestinians. we saw on the mother jones hidden camera video romney throw cold water on the idea of a two-state solution. if you look at the excerpts, he talks about a free and democratic and prosperous palestinian state that would stand side by side with an israeli state and that's very different at least in tone, especially during the foreign policy trip overseas when he went to israel and talked about jerusalem as the capital of israel, and one other thing we should note from the campaign conference call we listened to yesterday, ashley, romney's senior foreign policy advisers were looking to jfk, harry truman, even bill clinton in his second term as presidents that they are looking at in terms of shaping a potential doctrine in the future. last week a lot of people you heard a lot of pundits on the right and left saying maybe mitt romney is mo
morning. she is filling in. the show is also in talks to get michelle obama on the air. ann romney is in the battleground states of virginia. she greeted cancer survivors and campaign volunteers yesterday in chester. peter in sarasota, florida, on our independent line. we are talking about whether political spouses affect your vote. caller: absolutely not. and i am an independent for u.s. senate in florida. and i'me-in candidate, single with a mensa iq, and i'm the owner of two companies. geraldine ferraro was the best candidate running back years ago. vote for pete. host: let's go to our next call in hindsville, alabama, on our democrat line. good morning. no, they don't affect my vote. they are very intelligent women, but i've already made up my mind. so the spouses don't have anything to do with that. host: do they give more perspective and to who the candidates are? radio station in washington, wtop, says -- do you feel the spouses can give more of a human side to the person? caller: they might try, but most people see what the. candidates the. it's kind of hard for them to cha
role in the release of the videotape in which presidential candidate mitt romney talks about the 47% of americans. senators scott brown and elizabeth warren based off wednesday in the third of the four televised debates. in 2010, scott brown defeated martha coakley in a special election for the post held by the late ted kennedy for almost 47 years. this debate is courtesy of -- >> good evening. welcome to symphony hall for a debate between scott brown and elizabeth warren. i am honored to be the moderator tonight. we have rules this evening. our audience of more than 2600 guests have agreed to be silent. no interruptions or applause. each candidate has a minute and 30 seconds to answer each question, and 30 seconds for rebuttal. later, each candidate gets one minute for a closing statement. a coin toss has determined the speaker order. we have received more than 200. every question is based on an idea from the public. elizabeth warren won the first coin toss. just last week, we saw the national unemployment numbers fall below 8%. millions of americans are still looking for jobs. thi
the same thing with my dad this weekend. >>> talk politics. president obama mitt romney entering the home stretch for the presidential race. the big one will be foreign policy. >> in a few hours mitt romney will layout the vision for how the world should view america. doug luzader is live in washington with more. >> election day four weeks from tomorrow. it is getting very very close. 4 points from four key swing states. in virginia it is getting a lot of attention today. mitt romney will be in is virginia delivering major foreign policy talks. strike while the iron is hot especially in the wake of the attack on the u.s. consulate in libya last month. romney is trying to build a post debate momentum. >> i am convince the you had the chance to hear his answers or nonanswers. now of course days later we are hearing his excuses and next january we will be watching him leave the white house for the last time. >> president obama made a return appearance to california last night. not because that state is at play but because hollywood has heavy hitters with deep pockets. >> we come a long way.
uncovers video of mitt romney talking about 47% of americans he says to not pay taxes. a health care reporter from congressional quarterly. washington journal is like every day at 7:00 a.m. eastern on c- span -- is live every day at 7:00 a.m. eastern on c-span. tomorrow morning, the bipartisan policy center releases a report on the affected iran's nuclear program on the world economy. also in discussion about iran pose a nuclear program which to come watch live here on c-span beginning at 10:00 a.m. eastern time. then at noon, a house oversight committee hearing. you can watch a live a watch it when we hear it again at 9:00 a.m. -- 9:00 p.m. eastern on c- span. policy center, but first, it is the 15th anniversary of c-span radio. here to talk us about that is nancy calo. why was it created, and what is at its mission? >> it was created on october 9, 1987, -- 1997, another way to affect coverage. we bring you live coverage of house and senate proceedings. we will have live coverage of debates on the fiscal cliff. also, we bring you public policy events including congressional hearings
that trains republican candidates for office. in the video of mitt romney talking about the 47% of americans that mr. romney says don't pay taxes. and we will get medicare's growing costs with emily etheridge, a health care reporter from rational quarterly. "washington journal" is live everyday at 7:00 a.m. eastern on c-span. >> will do with the president obama did for the budget. nothing except for borrow and spend. our credit rating was downgraded for the first time in our history. >> we laid out a 4 trillion-dollar debt reduction plan over the next several days. $4 trillion. ladies and online, these guys go against everything. no, i really mean it. not only do they say that they don't like our plan, i get back, you don't like it. but what is your plan? >> thursday, congressman paul ryan and vice president joe biden face-off in their vice presidential debate. you can watch it 7:00 p.m. eastern. both candidates on screen the entire debate. i'll live coverage on c-span, c-span radio, and online at >> a discussion on mitt romney's foreign-policy plan and the foreign-policy and how
that level of detail of governor romney and the president just fine. >> susan, talk about the rhetoric that karen brings up. foreign policy certainly fair game topics of three debates. the vice presidential, two remaining presidential debates. when's the strategy behind today's speech from mitt romney? is he laying a pillar, a foundation of his campaign that may have been tampered with especially as jen brings up going overseas and kind of offended the relationship with british? >> well, the statement of the president's team is very disturbing i think because it's really beyond the pale. you don't go that far before you hear the speech. people don't want to hear that kind of discussion right now. they want to hear about substantive issues and therein i agree with karen and up to governor romney to deliver that but this is a great time politically for the governor to have this speech. he's had a great debate. the speech when the president, there's an opening to attack the president on foreign policy. he's still hurt on the benghazi issue. there's room for him to grow there so that's als
states. >> mitt romney trying to maybe muddle the issue, talking about the 8% figure. you can stay with cnn for the vice presidential debate on thursday night. our coverage begins at 7:00 eastern. you can also go to >>> it's 16 minutes past the hour. let's get you up to date with our top stories. >>> jerry sandusky faces life behind bars when he's sentenced later this morning. he is expected to speak at his hearing this morning before finding out his fate. the convicted child predator released an audio tape from prison insisting he's innocent, while blaming his downfall on one of his victims and a quote, well orchestrated conspiracy." >>> joran van der sloot may become a father. he was arrested but never charged in the disappearance of american teen natalee holloway in aruba in 2005. he's in prison in peru serving a 28-year sentence for murder of another woman. a dutch newspaper reports he apparently got a woman pregnant during an unsupervised visit. >> take a look at this. double down the line and a play at the plate but ichiro suzuki with matrix moves. look at this, he g
to administration officials. listen to romney last night in virginia talk about the unemployment rate. and 8%. listen what he said, john. >> we've seen the slowest recover from a recession in history. as a matter of fact, i just read that if you go back 60 years and look at all the bumps we had with unemployment above 8%, there were 39 months in all 60 years of unemployment. under this president there have been 43 months. >> romney not letting go of the 8% figure even though the unemployment rate has fallen there. he was in virginia last night. the unemployment rate is under 6% in virginia and iowa and approaching 7% in ohio. it's a tough argument for romney to make in certain swing states. >> mitt romney trying to maybe muddle the issue, talking about the 8% figure. you can stay with cnn for the vice presidential debate on thursday night. our coverage begins at 7:00 eastern. you can also go to >>> it's 16 minutes past the hour. let's get you up to date with our top stories. >>> jerry sandusky faces life behind bars when he's sentenced later this morning. he is expected to speak at
. patti ann: talk about that so-called debate bounce that romney got. looking back historically, when a candidate is perceived to have won a debate, how long does that bounce last? >> there has not really been any record of an event like the debate we had last wednesday night. four years ago there was absolutely no debate bounce. eight years ago very modest because we haven't seen a challenger win so decisively. we do know most bounces in and of themselves last less than a week in today's 24, 7 news environment. patti ann: we'll see what happens after the upcoming vice-presidential debate and beyond. >> it will be interesting. patti ann: yeah, that's for sure. thank you as always for joining us with the very latest numberss. bill: he was telling us last week to wait until monday morn. very interesting how that develops. >>> the break in a case of a missing 10-year-old girl. jessica ridgeway is her name. police say jessica was last seen on friday morning walking to school and then she vanished. police extended their search into the town of superior, colorado. that is a bit north of den
here. talk coming out all of the questions was about ann romney and michelle obama. we're not talking a lot about them. ann romney will be hosting "good morning america" tomorrow. what factors, do you think if any these two women may bring to the election and what we might see over the next four weeks? are they a factor? >> look the general argument out there that, spouses of candidates don't tend to win them elections. they can be a net draw back if they don't do a good job, if they plub or become a center of attention but neither women have been doing that what they have both proven they're very effective campaigners for their husbands an shoring up their messages. in that regard they're adding some ballast to both. campaigns. in particular reaching out to women voters we were just talking to. they're mostly there as sort of side by side to keep their husband's message out there, rather than necessarily winning the campaign on their own. jenna: said before in context today. good if they're not winning the campaign on their own because they're not the ones running for president, righ
for 40 years. ryan did want to talk about his experience because the romney ticket is trying to run as outsiders. he came off like two d. hauser, the guy trying to get into washington, when in fact he's been here for 14 years. >> my candidate for missed opportunities is in the vice president was hectoring paul ryan about you guys take responsibility. what are you responsibility? paul ryan could've said we've tried to take responsibility. we tried to get a major budget deal past, but the president moved the goalpost or the president was unwilling to leave. >> well, i go back to how we started this conversation. i felt during the whole debate on substance anyway, paul ryan was treading water. he just didn't want to make a mistake. he had a lot of soundbites. >> but what i am concerned about -- not concerned about, but what i'm curious about is how the viewer the voter will see that on some of these quickie polls, they are coming out a little closer than i would've thought. i would've thought biden would be a little more -- >> is such a useful reminder. a couple warhorses like ourselve
want to talk a little bit about this speech today. thank you for joining us. what does mitt romney have to do in this speech? what sort of expectations are built up? guest: this will be romney's foreign-policy speech. it is clearly pretty late in the game for him to be delivering a speech like this. early voting has started in the number of states. he wants to continue some of the momentum he built up last week's debate. it's a chance for him to make a clear contrast between himself and the president. more importantly, it's another chance for his campaign to show that there is more of a choice between him and obama and less of a referendum. when romney pick his running mate this summer, there was a sense that this would be a chance for him to outline things for his own and have a policy position that would set him apart from the president. but we've seen over the past couple of weeks at the campaign dynamic has not changed that much. this is just one more issue on which the republicans are trying to get the president. >> what you have seen from the speech so far, is mitt romney going to
was talking about mitt romney's performance. and when you're doing that it tends to be an indicator that that side knows that they lost. >> as we look ahead to the town hall, what did joe biden do whether substantive or stylistic that president obama should adopt? >> well, i think that joe biden re-energized the debate and the base of the party. a lot of people wanted to jump ship were panicking. he went out and really got everyone excited again. the president needs to step up in the next debate and do his job. remember, this is the guy who told hillary clinton that you're -- he can really step it up when he chooses to step it up. he need to get a good night's sleep, don't worry about the altitude and really get in there. >> that is so random. really? that's just really a stretch on that one. anyway, so susan, you can expect the president to be a lot tougher this time around, i know. how should mitt romney approach this debate? do you think he's going to be spending a lot of timan inning openings left by paul ryan? >> i don't think they'll get too much into what paul ryan said in hi
with the lady talking about the foreign policy issue. i think mitt romney is an opportunist. he went overseas and is respected our allies. -- disrepected all of our allies. he is an opportunist. he kisses up to benjamin netanyahu on foreign-policy. i think obama is steadfast. he talked to benjamin netanyahu on the phone for hours. it's not like he has been dodging him. he does not is up to foreign -- does not kiss up to foreign leaders. the talks to them like a leader. in the debate, obama held his head up high and did not have his head down like everybody said he did. as far as the media, i don't think the real voters actually thought that. i think a lot of people just followed what the media was saying as far as what he was talking about -- i mean what the media was talking about when they said obama did not hold his head up high. i think he was very presidential and very calm. i think. mitt romney think. -- i think mitt romney was desperate. host: we will hear the candidates debate on policy in the coming weeks. can you reflect on the earlier part of what he was saying? guest: i think romn
of the romney campaign's longest running talking points. 43 months of unemployment, over 8%, and the president to blame. >> 8% unemployment for over -- how many, 43 months? we still have unemployment over 8%. he told us to hold unemployment below 8%. >> unemployment above 8% month after month after month. >> but all that changed yesterday. the bureau of labor statistics reporting the unemployment rate falling to 7.8%. where does the romney campaign go from here? i'm joined by a republican spokesman. romney has said the president's policies right-hand turn working and the 8% was an indication of that. what's the response now? >> well, i think clearly the number of americans who are still looking for work, the people -- the work force participation rate is still far, far too high, so i don't think that 7.8% unemployment is something anybody, even the democrats, are cheering about. so i think that the president still clearly has a case to make for why another four years are going to be better under his leadership. >> the democrats would say, as they've said on our air this morning, that it is hea
of these debates, the first debate with the president, he talked for 37 minutes, governor romney and told 28 myths. >> eric: running out of time. last word, cal. >> well, if you're look for honesty in politics, it's like looking for a virgin at a house of ill repute. you got plenty of lies on both sides. you got fundraising all over the place. i like to say i'm from washington, d.c. originally where the only politicians with convictions are in prison. >> that's one thing we have in common. i'm from dc, too. >> eric: we'll wait for tuesday night. thank you both. arthel? >> arthel: that was very entertaining. okay. american made -- very good, too. cal had good lines there. american made products, american made products regaining footing overseas. but after suffering the greatest recession since world war two, is the world ready to let down its guard? he he >> eric: they fought for freedom overseas. now they have a new mission here at home. nearly every member of newark, new jersey's latest class of firefighters is a military vet. that's a first there. since world war ii. anna kooiman is live with th
me ask that again. the governor romney talked about reducing tax rates and says he would not balloon the deficit. let me ask your opinion about eliminating the deductions i listed. do we have to eliminate deductions for mortgage interest, state and local taxes, or charitable contributions? >> let me talk to you about one deduction or loophole that i have put legislation in. that is the elimination of loopholes for energy companies and oil companies. my opponent and i both agree that we should eliminate loopholes for energy companies. but she wants to give the revenue to the federal government and i want to give it to the individual at the gas pumps. when you pay for that gasoline, reducing the cost of gasoline. my parents filled up their gas tank, came to my house, and half a day later, that gas pump with 10 cents more a gallon. we can talk about loopholes and one of them is that for the oil companies. but i would give it back to the individual as a reduction of costs. quite where to begin, but let me start with the last thing you said. he introduced the legislation and spent a lot o
seems to be romney's favor. >> let's talk specifically about battleground states, wisconsin, pennsylvania, new hampshire and michigan were all leading in obama and now considered toss-ups. let's start with wisconsin. what is happening there? >> all those four states as you said were switched by real clear politics. in wisconsin that is where paul ryan is from, mitt romney's running mate. that is only a 2-point race in wisconsin. you have to remember, this is state where back in june there was recall election against scott walker. he won the race. he demoralized the democrats. a lot of activists were saying because president obama didn't come strong in favor of the democratic candidate, it demoralized a lot of democrats there. turnout could be very important. if the democratic turnout is not high, you might see mitt romney win that state. >> patti ann: meanwhile, florida where he is romney is enjoying a 2% advantage. we have david plouffe saying, we are going to get the senior citizens and hispanics. we are going to get florida? >> it's a crucial state for romney to win, one
take away, paul ryan spent his dae by the time talking about mitt romney. joe biden spent his debate time talking about joe biden and that's the different. the goal of a vice-presidential debate do no harm and promote the guy on the top job and pretty clear that joe biden thinks he should have the top job. stuart: and a clear question, going into the debate the romney camp clearly had momentum. do you think that debate stopped that forward momentum for the romney camp? >> i really don't. let's say that the snap polls you cited earlier and that joe biden won going away. i don't concede that fact, if it is true, 1988 probably the best performance of a vice-presidential nominee, lloyd benson and george w. bush still won 40 states. and the vice-presidential debate is not really all that impactful to the overall trajectory of the campaign and i think that paul ryan did a good enough job and did enough to promote mitt romney and really mitt romney the person and joe biden admitted that mitt romney is a good man and i think that's what had to come out of debate and paul ryan did what he nee
-to-head again. that is different kind of format. the town hall format. president and mitt romney will talk to individual voters asking questions, that may be a better format for the president. jon: but it does seem that states like ohio and nevada are getting tighter, and you know, with, well the election is four weeks from tomorrow. if that momentum holds for the romney team, it could really be a surprising turn around come election day? >> it certainly could. of course the romney campaign and republican national committee did a big turnout drive this past weekend. they have been doing a lot of that. we've seen it, we've seen it more from democrats. they have been exposing some of their organizational advantages all summer long. we're just now seeing how much the romney campaign is doing in some of these states. you're right, it absolutely could turn around. until we see romney leading in a lot of these averages in a lot of these states the president still has the edge. jon: one of the questions is about voter enthusiasm. one poll says republican enthusiasm, especially post-debate, is muc
presidential election, but is still a massive amount of money, last night, talking to the romney campaign and the big fund-raising dollars the obama campaign was putting up, romney staffers smiled as if to suggest they might top it. >> arthel: and also a statement, romney pushing his tax policy, this weekend, right? >> reporter: of course in the wake of the debate in which the romney campaign it really defined the race, a choice between a dependency society with rising taxes that could hurt the recovery, versus the romney agenda which could cut taxes and rely fully on a smaller government and individual responsibility and entrepreneurial spirit and the romney campaign is attacking ever harder. here's a sample from last night. >> it has been calculated his tax plan raising taxes will cost 700,000 jobs. i will not raise taxes on small business and not raise taxes on middle income families. >> reporter: he will spend a little more time in florida and campaign here tomorrow and he has been doing a bit of debate prep with robhe senator from ohio and his debate sparring... playing the role of m
with my colleagues. obama is a favorite. i would make it 55-45. it is a difficult path to romney running the presidency. >> let's talk about the debate. based on your contacts, which would run for the president? was he not prepared? how did romney become a super debater? what happened at the white house and what happened with romney? >> i'd like to leno's line that only the nfl replacement rest obama won the debate. the president looked like a team that was overconfident, that did not fear or respect his opponent and did not take it seriously. the romney i saw was someone i had not seen in a long time. it was the romney i saw when he was running for the u.s. senate in massachusetts in 1994, a pragmatic problem solver. i would have put him 35-45 period -- 35-40. he was for the first time being who he was as opposed to pretending some -- to be someone he was not. >> i keep thinking as a new yorker -- of the new yorker cover cartoon. that is what a lot of people came in be leaving. it is hard to understand what happened with the president. he has a cold, distant demeanor. that explains some
as rude. >> listen, toif say, if mitt romney and paul ryan think they're going to talk tough to china but can't handle a little humor by the vice president, they need to toughen up a little bit. >> let me clarify for you this point. we heard it from the vice president a couple times last night. i'll play the clip. >> uh-huh. >> the middle class will pay less and people making a million dollars or more will begin to contribute slightly more. >> a million dollars a year more, they'll pay a little more in taxes than people making less than a million. it used to be $200,000 for individuals, $250,000 for couples filing jointly, families. now he's talking about a million dollars or more. what's the point there? >> no. the point that the vice president was making is that this tax cut package that mitt romney and paul ryan support absolutely makes no sense because people making over $1 million would benefit by about $800 billion. we still the president, the vice president still absolutely believe that people making over $250,000, their taxes have to go up. we just can't -- we can't afford it.
. this is not the recovery we all wanted but we're on the road. for mitt romney it does take away one of talking points he has been very big on, number of consecutive months that the number has been at 8% or above, that line is gone from his speech. short term positives are there for president obama but long term you look at the historical numbers in terms of unemployment in presidential reelection years and depth of the political challenges are great here. >> heather: i'll ask you more about historically in a moment but the numbers have been called into question. there is actually a huge disconnect between the modest of new jobs report and significant decrease in the unemployment rate. jack welch, he went to as far to suggest that the numbers may be manipulated by the obama administration. do you think that the numbers add up? >> i think the suggestion that the numbers was cooked is relatively ridiculous. that being said. economists at the labor department will admit freely that there is a lot of margin of error in these numbers. a month after each job report these numbers are revised upward or downward.
, or a secretly taped fundraising talk. >> here is romney, that secret video taping of the 47%. >> reporter: we found one such bettor, mit sloan school student andre gloria. >> the question that you're really answering when you're placing a bet is: who do you think will win? not who will you vote for? >> reporter: gloria is constantly checking betting markets the world or. >> ill have a nice christmas break, thanks to this, yeah. >> reporter: and though this mba student doesn't play in low- stakes iowa, he's very much like her speculators, says joyce berg. our market traders are very different than the general voting population. they're predominantly male, they're wealthier than the average voter, younger than the average voter, better educated than the average voter. >> reporter: and as we take one last look at the iowa market, the quietest bookie in america, one last question-- how accurate have the polls proved to be? >> so we've gone back over time since the '88 election, looked at over 900 polls and compared the iem prediction to the poll prediction and found that in 75% of the cases the i
so gladly >> generally, people who are interested in talking about politics love to engage, so they talk to us quite a bit. >> reporter: but since every pollster claims to come up with a scientific random sample eventually, how can the results be romney up by four and obama down by three at the very same time? newly minted phd economist david rothschild works at microsoft research in manhattan. rothschild looks at economic models, state polls and markets. his currently gives obama a 65% chance to win. >> i never sweat too much about any individual poll because there's too much noise. >> reporter: too much noise meaning... >> too much movement. >> reporter: take the so-called bumps - after a vice- presidential pick, or a convention. or take the first presidential debate. say you're a democrat, the morning after. a pollster calls you, you dont want anything to do with it, you're upset, you hang up that phone. they call another guy, the exact same demographics as you because they're trying to fill some sort of demographic hole or whatnot, he's a republican, hes stoked. the same pe
president, i know you're under duress -- to make up for lost ground. >> reporter: he talked about the auto bailout. >> when mr. ryan said that romney was a car guy, i thought well if they have them in an elevator, i guess he was. >> reporter: for a group of undecided voters put together in virginia, a split decision. this voter thought mr. biden won. >> the vice president did. >> why? >> i think he came off as being very strong, emotional, and i like the looking at the camera and talking to the american people. >> reporter: another, paul ryan. >> vice president joe biden was being kind of immature, with a lot of the snide -- he sneered and everything. >> reporter: and take a look at this photo, at the very top, no apology, followed by egyptian people, and alq. an interesting night, brian >> reporter: while he spends a lot of time in ohio, as polls show, now the democrats once with a wide lead, now within striking distance. >> ron mott in ohio, thank you, starting us off. >>> the argument over what happened in the libya attack and what the administration has been saying about it publicly be
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